2009 Fantasy Football PPR Ranking – Aug 22

Here’s my second run through offensive rankings for point per reception (PPR) leagues.  As in my first run, keep in mind that I came up with these rankings based on how valuable I think players will be overall in PPR league scoring in 2009.  If you are in a “standard” scoring league these rankings will not be useful to you.  In fact they are worse than useless.  Let me say this again – if you are in a standard scoring league (non-PPR) these rankings suck.  :-)

In my first run at the rankings last week, I ranked the top 20 RB’s, WR’s, and QB’s, and I’m going to expand that to the top 40 this time.   You should always check for new posts in the “Fantasy” category to find updated information.  I’m tired of getting emails and comments complaining that my info is wrong because it’s out of date when the reader hasn’t bothered to check for updates.

These rankings are based on projected stats from several fantasy sites, and in some cases simply a gut feeling.

For example, I’m not a Michael Turner fan, and I think a lot of his production in 2008 came from the easy schedule Atlanta had as a result of their horrible 4 win season in 2007.  Lot’s of running backs had great stats against Detroit, KC, St Louis, Oakland, Green Bay, and New Orleans.  But when Turner faced tougher rushing defenses like Chicago, Philly, and Minnesota, he didn’t do as well.

In 2009, Turner will be facing the Giants, Jets, Philly, Miami, Dallas, Washington, San Francisco, Chicago, and New England – all of whom finished in the top half of the NFL in rushing defense last year.  So I think his PPR fantasy point total at the end of 2009 will be a lower than it was in 2008.  Maybe not a lot lower, but I don’t think there’s anyway Turner will end the year with more points than he had last year – and he finished last year with exactly 8 more PPR fantasy points (270 total) than Tomlinson and Thomas Jones (262).

Another example is Brian Westbrook.  Westbrook finished as the number 8 RB in my PPR league last year, and he’ll probably finish among the top 10 running backs in PPR leagues again this year.  But I will not draft him unless he’s available in the 4th round.  Why?  Simply because you never know when he’s going to play.  Almost every week Westbrook is listed as “questionable” or “probable” and he’s a “game time decision”.

You simply don’t know if he’s going to play – or how much he’ll play – until the game starts.   And since you have to set your lineup before the game, you have to gamble each and every week on him.  I understand that certain players like Kellen Winslow, Reggie Bush, Frank Gore, and Marion Barber are high injury risks.  I can deal with that when I KNOW they are listed as “doubtful” because I know they most likely aren’t going to play – and if they do play they won’t be a big factor in the game.  But with Westbrook, you simply don’t have a fucking clue if he’s going to play.  So Westbrook takes a big hit in my rankings.

One other thing to note – this is NOT the order in which I think players will be drafted – or should be drafted.  Just because I think Reggie Bush will finish the year in the top 10 does not mean you should draft him there!   Bush (as of today) has an average ADP of 58 in NFL.com leagues, so most likely you can get him in the 4th or 5th round.

Getting round 1 value in round 4 or 5 is how you win.   So get ANOTHER top 10 ranked RB in round 1 instead and grab Bush in round 4 or 5.   Now you’ve got 2 top ranked running backs on your team while most everyone else has just one.  With just that 1 smart pick, you’ve tremendously increased your chances of winning your league!

With those explanations out of the way, here are my PPR rankings as of August 22nd.

Top 40 PPR Running Backs
Rank Name Team Bye Week Age
1 Maurice Jones-Drew JAX 7 24
2 Steven Jackson STL 9 26
3 Chris Johnson TEN 7 23
4 Matt Forte CHI 5 23
5 Ladainian Tomlinson SD 5 30
6 Adrian Peterson MIN 9 24
7 DeAngelo Williams CAR 4 26
8 Reggie Bush NO 5 24
9 Steve Slaton HOU 10 23
10 Frank Gore SF 6 26
11 Marion Barber DAL 6 26
12 Clinton Portis WAS 8 27
13 Michael Turner ATL 4 27
14 Marshawn Lynch BUF 9 23
15 Kevin Smith DET 7 22
16 Brian Westbrook PHI 4 29
17 Ronnie Brown MIA 6 27
18 Pierre Thomas NO 5 24
19 Knowshon Moreno DEN 7 22
20 Julius Jones SEA 7 28
21 Joseph Addai IND 6 26
22 Ryan Grant GB 5 26
23 Felix Jones DAL 6 22
24 Donald Brown IND 6 22
25 Thomas Jones NYJ 9 31
26 Ray Rice BAL 7 22
27 Darren McFadden OAK 9 21
28 Brandon Jacobs NYG 10 27
29 LenDale White TEN 7 24
30 Derrick Ward TB 8 28
31 Larry Johnson KC 8 29
32 Jonathan Stewart CAR 4 22
33 Cedric Benson CIN 8 26
34 Darren Sproles SD 5 26
35 Jamal Lewis CLE 9 29
36 Willie Parker PIT 8 28
37 Leon Washington NYJ 9 26
38 Chris Wells ARI 4 21
39 Chester Taylor MIN 9 29
40 Fred Jackson BUF 9 28
Top 40 PPR Wide Receivers
Rank Name Team Bye Week Age
1 Larry Fitzgerald ARI 4 25
2 Andre Johnson HOU 10 28
3 Calvin Johnson DET 7 23
4 Randy Moss NE 8 32
5 Anquan Boldin ARI 4 28
6 Marques Colston NO 5 26
7 Reggie Wayne IND 6 30
8 Greg Jennings GB 5 25
9 Wes Welker NE 8 28
10 Steve Smith CAR 4 30
11 T.J. Houshmandzadeh SEA 7 31
12 Roddy White ATL 4 27
13 Chad Ochocinco CIN 8 31
14 Terrell Owens BUF 9 35
15 Vincent Jackson SD 5 26
16 Dwayne Bowe KC 8 24
17 DeSean Jackson PHI 4 22
18 Braylon Edwards CLE 9 26
19 Roy Williams DAL 6 27
20 Bernard Berrian MIN 9 28
21 Brandon Marshall DEN 7 25
22 Lee Evans BUF 9 28
23 Kevin Walter HOU 10 28
24 Santonio Holmes PIT 8 25
25 Jerricho Cotchery NYJ 9 27
26 Anthony Gonzalez IND 6 24
27 Donnie Avery STL 9 25
28 Santana Moss WAS 8 30
29 Chris Henry CIN 8 26
30 Steve Breaston ARI 4 26
31 Lance Moore NO 5 25
32 Nate Burleson SEA 7 28
33 Laveranues Coles CIN 8 31
34 Antonio Bryant TB 8 28
35 Devin Hester CHI 5 26
36 Percy Harvin MIN 9 21
37 Josh Morgan SF 6 24
38 Torry Holt JAX 7 33
39 Derrick Mason BAL 7 35
40 Ted Ginn MIA 6 24
Top 40 PPR Quarterbacks
Rank Name Team Bye Week Age
1 Drew Brees NO 5 30
2 Tom Brady NE 8 32
3 Peyton Manning IND 6 33
4 Kurt Warner ARI 4 38
5 Philip Rivers SD 5 27
6 Matt Schaub HOU 10 28
7 Donovan McNabb PHI 4 33
8 Aaron Rodgers GB 5 25
9 Matt Ryan ATL 4 24
10 Carson Palmer CIN 8 29
11 Matt Cassel KC 8 27
12 Matt Hasselbeck SEA 7 33
13 David Garrard JAX 7 31
14 Tony Romo DAL 6 29
15 Trent Edwards BUF 9 25
16 Jay Cutler CHI 5 26
17 Brett Favre MIN 9 39
18 Eli Manning NYG 10 28
19 Chad Pennington MIA 6 33
20 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 8 27
21 Kyle Orton DEN 7 26
22 Marc Bulger STL 9 32
23 Jake Delhomme CAR 4 34
24 Jason Campbell WAS 8 27
25 Matthew Stafford DET 7 21
26 Joe Flacco BAL 7 24
27 Mark Sanchez NYJ 9 22
28 Shaun Hill SF 6 29
29 Michael Vick PHI 4 29
30 Kerry Collins TEN 7 36
31 JaMarcus Russell OAK 9 24
32 Brady Quinn CLE 9 24
33 Byron Leftwich TB 8 29
34 Daunte Culpepper DET 7 32
35 Derek Anderson CLE 9 26
37 Jeff Garcia OAK 9 39
38 Chris Simms DEN 7 28
39 Kellen Clemens NYJ 9 26
40 Vince Young TEN 7 26
Top PPR Tight Ends
Rank Name Team Bye Week Age
1 Jason Witten DAL 6 27
2 Antonio Gates SD 5 29
3 Dallas Clark IND 6 30
4 Chris Cooley WAS 8 27
5 Tony Gonzalez ATL 4 33
6 Kellen Winslow TB 8 26
7 John Carlson SEA 7 25
8 Visanthe Shiancoe MIN 9 29
9 Owen Daniels HOU 10 26
10 Greg Olsen CHI 5 24
11 Jeremy Shockey NO 5 29
12 Zach Miller OAK 9 23
13 Tony Scheffler DEN 7 26
14 Dustin Keller NYJ 9 24
15 Vernon Davis SF 6 25
16 Bo Scaife TEN 7 28
17 Anthony Fasano MIA 6 25
18 Brent Celek PHI 4 24
19 Heath Miller PIT 8 26
20 Brandon Pettigrew DET 7 24
21 Marcedes Lewis JAX 7 25
22 Randy McMichael STL 9 30
23 Kevin Boss NYG 10 25
24 Donald Lee GB 5 28
25 Desmond Clark CHI 5 32
26 Brad Cottam KC 8 24
27 Todd Heap BAL 7 29
28 Martellus Bennett DAL 6 22
29 Jerramy Stevens TB 8 29
30 Jermichael Finley GB 5 22
31 L.J. Smith BAL 7 29
32 Casey Fitzsimmons DET 7 28
33 David Martin MIA 6 30
34 Alex Smith NE 8 27
35 Ben Watson NE 8 28
36 Robert Royal CLE 9 30
37 Alge Crumpler TEN 7 31
38 Leonard Pope ARI 4 25
39 Steve Heiden CLE 9 32
40 Jeff King CAR 4 26
Top 24 Defenses
1 Ny Giants NYG 10
2 Baltimore BAL 7
3 Pittsburgh PIT 8
4 Minnesota MIN 9
5 Philadelphia PHI 4
6 San Diego SD 5
7 Chicago CHI 5
8 Tennessee TEN 7
9 Green Bay GB 5
10 Ny Jets NYJ 9
11 Dallas DAL 6
12 New England NE 8
13 Arizona ARI 4
14 Buffalo BUF 9
15 Tampa Bay TB 8
16 Seattle SEA 7
17 Indianapolis IND 6
18 Oakland OAK 9
19 Miami MIA 6
20 Carolina CAR 4
21 Jacksonville JAX 7
22 Atlanta ATL 4
23 New Orleans NO 5
24 Detroit DET 7
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6 Responses

  1. When are we going to see a full/combined Top 200-300 for PPR leagues?

  2. I’m working on it. I’ve been spending my time tweaking these rankings and preparing for my main fantasy draft, but hopefully it’ll be done in a couple of days. It should be posted by Thursday or Friday.

    These PPR fantasy pages have been wildly popular, and I’m also putting together a page with links to my favorite PPR info sites. Given the popularity of PPR leagues, I’m amazed that there’s not more info out there. I’m trying to make this a one stop shop with impartial info for point per reception (and points per reception) leagues.

    Just a reminder to check the fantasy category (link below) for my latest posts – don’t get caught using outdated information!
    http://www.effor.com/blog/index.php/category/fantasy

  3. Nice rankings Gary…dont know how u have ROMO behind QBS like GARRARD-CASSEL-HASS-and PALMER…he looks REAL good this pre-season spreading the ball around without T.O.-anyway Iwill be using ur rankings for my draft. NICE WORK

  4. He is doing better than I expected so far this preseason. I moved Romo up from 18 to 14 last week, and he may move up a few more spots this week. For some context, he finished #11 in my league last year with 247 points, behind Garrard (256), Cassell (279) and even Pennington (251). He finished just 5 points ahead of Thigpen who had 242 points.

    I have main two concerns with Romo.
    1) Who he is going to throw to if Witten is covered? Roy Williams moved up a few spots last week as well, but he’s not a #1 WR in my book, and with TO gone, he’ll draw double coverage all the time. I like Crayton (he’s close to my top 40 in PPR) but he’s not going to scare many defenses.
    2) I think Dallas will run the ball better this year, especially if Jones can stay healthy. I currently have Barber at #11 and Jones at #23. So if they are running more often, they won’t be passing as much, so Romo’s stats need to take a hit to reflect that.

    I could easily be wrong – I often am! – but that’s my reasoning.

  5. No Eddie Royal in the top 40 at all?

  6. Not last week, but he’s in my top 100 at number 88 overall this week. That would probably be about number 35 to 40 on the WR list right now.
    http://www.effor.com/blog/index.php/2009/08/28/top-100-ppr-ranking

    He’s moved up because of Marshall’s “issues” and the only thing holding him back is his QB. Let’s face it, Orton sucks.

    Bottom line: No QB or WR in Denver is going to come close to the fantasy numbers they had last year. You’ve been warned, so draft accordingly.

    gk

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