Buffett’s view on gold

I posted this last April, as I heard lot’s of people taking about a bubble in gold, and how gold “doesn’t provide a dividend” and how gold “doesn’t make a profit”.   After reading Warren Buffett’s annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders today, I felt compelled to update the numbers, as Buffett dissed gold pretty bad. […]

Why are stocks rising?

The S&P 500, DJIA, and NASDAQ are all up about 40% from their lows on March 9th.  Why?  Has the economy (and earnings) rebounded that sharply?  Or were the March lows an aberration?  It’s been a while since I talked about the stock market or the larger economic picture, so it’s time to revisit those […]

The Year of the W

I was browsing through MarketWatch.com tonight and saw this story from Todd Harrison.  If you’re unfamiliar with Todd, he’s the founder of Minyanville.com, and he caused an uproar in the trading community last year when he announced that he had moved 100% of his long term money into cash.  The Dow was at 11, 346 […]

Closing the book on 2008 earnings

It’s been a while since I’ve had time to post any new info, and as I was reading through the news tonight, it occurred to me to close the loop on the dismal S&P 500 earnings in Q4 of 2008.  To sum it up, they sucked. Standard and Poors has the final numbers for 2008 […]

O’Shaughnessy sees big upside, S&P 500 at 900

From a story on Yahoo News. A rising savings rate and an improved housing market, while not completely healed, point to brighter times ahead in the U.S. economy, O’Shaughnessy told Reuters in an interview. “I do think that as all that coalesces, you see a good chance for the S&P 500 (at) 900 out of […]

Q1 S&P 500 earnings are toast

The latest numbers from Standard and Poors are even worse than yesterday.  Now, even Operating earnings are negative, not just as reported earnings. Check it out here.  Link will open an Excel spreadsheet. Notice the Operating earnings for Q1.  The total for the S&P 500 is now negative 56 cents.  As reported earnings are now […]

S&P 500 earnings update

Standard and Poors finally released an update for the 4th quarter earnings today, and the news is even worse than the last update on February 15th – and keep in mind that this does NOT include the nuclear loss that AIG dropped on the market this morning.  AIG announced the largest loss by any company […]

More bottom fishing on stocks

You’d think that the “experts” would eventually learn, but when I scan the news lately, almost everyone and their brother is calling this the bottom of the bear market.  If they’re not outright calling a bottom, they’re saying “near the bottom” or something similar. Just today I ran across these stories saying that we’re at […]

Confidence plunges – stocks soar

No, it doesn’t make sense to me either.  In a report from the Conference Board today, consumer confidence set a record low this month.  It plunged to 25 from a revised (lower) January number of 37.4.  That’s an all time record.  And yet stocks soared today, with the DJIA gaining over 236 points, to end […]

Bye-bye to buy and hold

As if the past few years haven’t been proof enough, the recent plunge in stock prices may finally shut up the chorus of buy and hold investing proponents.  I’ve been saying it for a long time, but maybe hitting people in the pocketbook is the only way to make them understand. Buy and hold is […]